US Elections 2016

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Social media and democracy: Trump harnessed the power of algorithms

The US presidential elections have shown that democracy has changed, and the means of obtaining victory, too. Hillary Clinton’s team (despite winning the popular vote) erred. It spent more than US$200 million on TV advertising, twice what Donald Trump spent. Clinton also spent US$30 million on the social media [...]

Approaching Brexit, Trump and globalization from the Elcano Global Presence Index

Like in the nineties, globalization has become, anew, a buzzword in political, sociological and economic debates. Moreover, it has been a major issue in two of the most important recent political campaigns in Western countries: the Brexit referendum and the US presidential elections. An increasing number of analyses are [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Europe is unprepared for Trump

The election of Donald Trump as US President, hard on the heels of the Brexit referendum –and both results took European leaders by surprise– has forced Europe to confront another mirror. Both reflections show an EU that is divided, but in need of unity and initiative. The EU needs [...]

The second Trump surge: is it receding again, or about to breach the dyke?

After experiencing a second surge in the polls during the latter half of October —driven by yet another intromission from the FBI regarding Clinton’s controversial email management while she was Secretary of State— Donald Trump’s candidacy had arrived nearly to the same point where he was at the end [...]

Clinton pulls away, and Trump Chases

The most acrimonious presidential election in US history –the Jefferson-Adams election and Lincoln’s first in 1860 being possible exceptions– has now entered the home stretch. Hillary Clinton, the candidate of the Democratic Party, appears to have pulled out of the final turn of the long campaign well before, and [...]

Clinton dissipates Trump’s September Surge

The fierce challenge that Donald Trump mounted against Hillary Clinton –as expressed in the polls– during the final days of August and the first three weeks of September appears to have dissipated. In the two weeks since the first presidential debate, the trend in all of the polls (which [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Electoral scenarios: somewhere between grey and black

The western world, certainly the EU, with Trump, a debilitated Merkel and Le Pen (even Sarkozy) in charge would not be the same as one with Clinton, Juppé and a strengthened Merkel, or another German leader –without even considering the situation in the Netherlands, Austria and, of course, Spain–. [...]

The Clinton-Trump election remains tight

A week after the first presidential debate in the US, and just over a month before the election on November 8th, the polls remain tight, if at times inconsistent. The first debate seems to have led to an improvement in the polls for Hillary Clinton, both with respect to [...]
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