US-China rivalry

Trump gets the war he wanted: against China

Opinion polls draw a rather bleak picture for Donald Trump who is seeking re-election. As of 24 July, data shows that Joe Biden is ahead in the twelve swing states. This margin exceeds seven points in all of them, except for Arizona and North Carolina. In this context, a [...]

Some thoughts on the pre-COVID world. 2019 Elcano Global Presence Index results

We have just launched a new edition of the Elcano Global Presence Index, that refers to 2019. In this tenth anniversary (already!) and as in previous years, we are adding ten new countries; so that the Index is now calculated for 130 countries from all regions, accounting for 99% [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega The virus war with China

In 2003, when SARS emerged, the US and other countries cooperated with China from the outset, enabling the epidemic to be brought under control. In 2020 not only has there been no such initial cooperation on COVID-19, but the way in which China covered up the first cases and [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Europe’s ‘sovereignty fever’

In the midst of rivalry between the world’s great powers, or perhaps precisely because of it, ‘European sovereignty’ has become the new watchword and new aspiration of certain prominent EU leaders, from the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, to the French President, Emmanuel Macron. Or [...]

Geopolitically or not, the new EU fears and needs China

The new European Commission is set to be geopolitical. Ursula von der Leyen, the Commission President, wants the EU to become more active in the international arena, even assertive if needed. In a context of increasing hostility between two world powers, the US and China, and the rise of [...]

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