US-China rivalry

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega US-EU: political convergence, economic divergence

The political and geopolitical convergence between the new Biden Administration and the EU and its member states is starting to become evident. But economic divergence may be emerging at the same time, with the US pulling ahead, as a result of the manner of tackling recovery from the COVID-19 [...]

6G, Europe and post-2030 scenario: internal coherence for strategic autonomy

Why has the European Commission just launched a new flagship initiative with an almost €12 million budget to research on the 6G technology –if up until now the 5G architecture has not been deployed into all Member States and its penetration is still low? The answer is that the [...]

The EU should refuse any negotiation on Huawei

COVID-19 has emerged as a catalyst of troublesome trends in international relations. It has revived the US-China rivalry and further put international institutions under stress. EU-China relations have not been unscathed. China has emerged as a necessary partner in times of need and there is space for cooperation in [...]

Trump gets the war he wanted: against China

Opinion polls draw a rather bleak picture for Donald Trump who is seeking re-election. As of 24 July, data shows that Joe Biden is ahead in the twelve swing states. This margin exceeds seven points in all of them, except for Arizona and North Carolina. In this context, a [...]

Some thoughts on the pre-COVID world. 2019 Elcano Global Presence Index results

We have just launched a new edition of the Elcano Global Presence Index, that refers to 2019. In this tenth anniversary (already!) and as in previous years, we are adding ten new countries; so that the Index is now calculated for 130 countries from all regions, accounting for 99% [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega The virus war with China

In 2003, when SARS emerged, the US and other countries cooperated with China from the outset, enabling the epidemic to be brought under control. In 2020 not only has there been no such initial cooperation on COVID-19, but the way in which China covered up the first cases and [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Europe’s ‘sovereignty fever’

In the midst of rivalry between the world’s great powers, or perhaps precisely because of it, ‘European sovereignty’ has become the new watchword and new aspiration of certain prominent EU leaders, from the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, to the French President, Emmanuel Macron. Or [...]

Geopolitically or not, the new EU fears and needs China

The new European Commission is set to be geopolitical. Ursula von der Leyen, the Commission President, wants the EU to become more active in the international arena, even assertive if needed. In a context of increasing hostility between two world powers, the US and China, and the rise of [...]

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