United States

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Averting an ISIS 2.0

Mosul, where Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi proclaimed the Islamic State (IS, otherwise known as ISIS or Daesh) as a caliphate in 2014 has almost fallen after nine months of fierce fighting. The recapture of Raqqa, the IS capital in Syria, is only a matter of time following the offensive by [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega From the G20 to the G-Zero: global governance without Trump?

With his hostile stance on the Paris climate change agreement, Trump subverted the G7 (which had already thrown out Russia). His nationalist and protectionist “America First” posture in Hamburg did not paralyse the G20, but it did to a large extent render it hollow, despite the lengthy list of [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega A 360º NATO, but without Article 5?

NATO does not like referring to fronts, because this would imply enemies. It prefers everything to be a matter of flanks: the Eastern flank (bordering Russia) and the Southern flank. But this has been superseded too. It is obsolete terminology and now there is talk of a 360º NATO, [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Disputed geometries around the New Silk Road

There were notable attendees at the recent forum in Beijing for the One Belt, One Road Initiative, also known as the New Silk Road, but also significant absences, and delegations that lacked the seniority such an occasion called for. Conspicuous among the absences was that of India, which is [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Technology: the great Chinese game of go

It is well known that the game of go (weiqi in Chinese), which was invented in China, is a game of positions, of gaining territory, rather than the movements of chess. Beijing is launching its technology strategy on a not dissimilar board, which has alarmed some in the West [...]

Foreign policy means and ends: results of the Global Diplomacy Index and the Elcano Global Presence Index

The Lowy Institute for International Policy has published the 2016 edition of its Global Diplomacy Index. This index calculates the number of diplomatic representations of each G20 and/or OECD country in the rest of the G20/OECD network, including embassies and high commissions (for Commonwealth countries), consulates, or representations to [...]

Trump versus the planet? No global climate action derailment but uncertainty on the horizon

The US is the second largest greenhouse gas emitter with 14.4% of global emissions in 2012, after China (25.36%) and followed by the EU (10.16%) (note the data exclude emissions from Land-Use Change and Forestry in addition to excluding greenhouse gas emissions from bunker fuels). As climate change is [...]

From presence to influence: new patterns for the US and China?

A country’s global presence, as defined in the Elcano’s Global Presence Index, is the aggregate product of a range of economic, military and soft variables. By measuring the external projection of a country –the extent of its international engagement– the Index provides a useful empirical basis to assess its [...]
Real Instituto Elcano - The Elcano Royal Institute | Príncipe de Vergara, 51. 28006 Madrid (España - Spain) | 2012 -2016 | Creative Commons BY-NC-ND 3.0