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Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Brexit and Trump as vaccination: four decisive years for the EU

Both Brexit and Donald Trump’s election have mutated from appearing to be a form of divisive virus –that could spread– into becoming something akin to a vaccine for the EU and its members states. But its effects are likely to endure only for a limited period of time: following [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega 28 March 2019: no end in sight for Brexit

The date is 28 March 2019. There is one day left before the two years stipulated by the treaty for the UK’s departure from the EU expire; two years will have elapsed since 29 March 2017 when the British Prime Minister, Theresa May, triggered the famous Article 50 by [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Regrexit, or indefinite postponement?

The vote in favour of Brexit in the British referendum of 23 June has wrought devastation on the British political stage. So much so that it is not inconceivable that the UK’s departure from the EU will never actually happen. Much will depend on what transpires in British politics; [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega The reversibility of Europe

Since 1972, 58 referendums have been held on the EU, whether on joining it, extending it or governing it. As a report from Notre Europe points out, almost all had consequences (one of the exceptions was Spain’s 2005 referendum on the treaty establishing a constitution for Europe, a project [...]

Brexit talk is pushing the City of London closer to Frankfurt

My five years as a PhD student, first in Oxford (Brookes) and then as a post-doc at LSE, have told me that the smart people from the UK, especially those working in the City, see the Euro project thus: European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) is like a ship [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Why people join ISIS

Why do young European-Arab Muslims, and converts, go to join the Islamic State (ISIS or Daesh) to fight or sacrifice themselves, in Syria, Iraq and Libya, among other places, and, when they return, in Europe itself? It is essential to find out. The explanation frequently comes more from anthropology [...]

The euro: an orphan who no longer needs his parents?

When my colleague Erik Jones told me that Martin Sandbu’s Europe’s Orphan: the Future of the Euro and the Politics of Debt was the best book on the Eurozone crisis, I was sceptical. Usually the analysis that comes from the Anglo-Saxon world does not grasp the complex sociology and [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Brexit: possible political disasters

It is commonplace to talk more about the economic impact, but a British exit from the EU (so-called Brexit) could lead to a variety of political disasters. First, Ireland This would be the country most affected by Brexit, due to the impact it could have on the Ulster peace [...]
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