Ukraine

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Is Russia really a threat?

We are not facing a new Cold War, a point that has been made in these posts before, but we are witnessing a more traditional bout of arm wrestling. There is no ideological confrontation, even if some populists, ranging from Donald Trump to Marine Le Pen, admire Vladimir Putin’s [...]

Ukraine, Russia and the sanctions: ‘the good, the bad and the ugly’

Next July the European Union will decide whether it renews its economic sanctions against Russia. The sanctions are linked to the fulfilment of the Minsk II agreement, which contemplates a ceasefire and the introduction by the Ukrainian government of a parcel of constitutional reform measures designed to guarantee the [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega An odd Dutch referendum on the Ukraine: another European crisis on the horizon?

The Dutch will be voting tomorrow, 6 April, in an odd referendum that could trigger another institutional crisis in Europe: the vote concerns the Association Agreement between the Ukraine and the EU, signed in 2014 and currently being applied only provisionally and in part. The opinion polls have alternated [...]

Arctic: from Cold to Ice-cold War

Vyacheslav Shtyrov, chairman of the Russian council of experts on the Arctic and Antarctica, recently said that ‘there is a strong possibility that the Russian Arctic is the first line of defence in case of a global military conflict, because that is the most likely direction of an adversary’s [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Ukraine: the peace hiding behind the ceasefire

If consolidating a ceasefire in the eastern Ukraine will be difficult, making peace will be even more so. Nevertheless, although there are elements for a stable peace in what was negotiated at Minsk, it remains to be seen if, not Russia, but the government in Kiev –and the Ukrainian [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Putin and his supporters at Europe’s political extremes

Not only Russia, but Vladimir Putin himself, is gaining influential supporters in Europe. The political extremes –should they be called populists?–, especially on the right, are pro-Putin. To the left, the triumph of Syriza has reinforced Greece’s usual pro-Russian stance which, of course, also has a religious basis in [...]

Serbia’s OSCE chairmanship: back to the future

Serbia will hold the chairmanship of the Organisation for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) for 2015. Its candidacy, accepted on 10 February 2010, went hand-in-hand with Switzerland’s, which chaired the OSCE in 2014. In July 2013 the two countries presented an action plan that proposed the creation of [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega What did NATO promise Gorbachev?

Some in Russia maintain that the West promised there would be no NATO expansion eastwards, even towards what was soon to be the former German Democratic Republic (GDR), in exchange for accepting German unification. The West, particularly the US, maintains there was no such commitment. Which is true? It [...]
Real Instituto Elcano - The Elcano Royal Institute | Príncipe de Vergara, 51. 28006 Madrid (España - Spain) | 2012 -2016 | Creative Commons BY-NC-ND 3.0