Syria

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Will there be a Kurdish state?

The Kurds have been scourged by history (as well as by British and French designs, with their 1920s ‘peace to end all peace’, as David Fromkin termed it in his remarkable book). In drawing up the borders that followed World War One and the fall of the Ottoman Empire, [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Winners and losers in the fall of Aleppo

The fall of Aleppo in the hands of the government forces of Bashar al-Assad, with the military support of Russia and Iran, is producing both winners and losers; on both sides this new state of affairs will have repercussions over the short, medium and long terms that go far [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Trump: bilateralism

Following the 9/11 terrorist attacks in 2001, it was said that the world had changed because the US had changed. The world changes with each President. With Donald Trump’s election it could be said that the world has started to change before the new Republican President-elect has even moved [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Is Russia really a threat?

We are not facing a new Cold War, a point that has been made in these posts before, but we are witnessing a more traditional bout of arm wrestling. There is no ideological confrontation, even if some populists, ranging from Donald Trump to Marine Le Pen, admire Vladimir Putin’s [...]

Clinton dissipates Trump’s September Surge

The fierce challenge that Donald Trump mounted against Hillary Clinton –as expressed in the polls– during the final days of August and the first three weeks of September appears to have dissipated. In the two weeks since the first presidential debate, the trend in all of the polls (which [...]

Libya: finding a way out of the labyrinth must be by way of the oil terminals

In recent years the production of oil in Libya has endured a rollercoaster ride reflecting a succession of blockades, attacks, strikes and sabotage carried out on oil and gas installations (some accounts catalogue up to 75 incidents and dozens of fatalities). Output in 2010 was close to 1.6 million [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Saudi Arabia vs Iran: the real rivalry in the Middle East

Without it, nothing makes sense, and it has now emerged into broad daylight following the execution of the Shiite cleric Nimr al-Nimr alongside 46 other prisoners –43 of them convicted of al-Qaeda terrorist activities– and the subsequent riots and assault and torching of the Saudi Embassy in Tehran. The [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Paris: a war over an essential not an existential threat

Yesterday the French President François Hollande, before the two parliamentary chambers sitting together as Congress in Versailles, said that ‘France is at war’ and that the coordinated terrorist attacks in Paris have been an ‘act of war’ of the Islamic State (ISIS or Daesh). And indeed, we are involved [...]
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