Guest contributors

Guest authors of the Elcano Blog

Which way now for Tunisia?

With global attention focused on other hotspots of conflict and tension in the Arab and Muslim world, Tunisia has had very little press over the last seven years, with a few reports referring to it as the last glimmer of hope of what was so hastily dubbed the ‘Arab [...]

Libya is sinking even further into the abyss

Whether one looks at the humanitarian situation, or at politics or at security, the overwhelming impression is that Libya is sinking into the abyss. The scandal that broke out after the recent broadcast of images clearly showing a slave auction is unfortunately just one example in a territory that has become [...]

Germany shifting to the right

And now Germany: similarly to most other European countries, the Federal Republic will now also have a right-wing party decisively present in its national parliament. The 13% share of the vote achieved by Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) in the 24 September elections could almost be called a landslide victory. [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega European defence: not so much spending more, but spending better

There was no need to wait for a prod from either Trump or Putin, but perhaps the inducement provided by Brexit was necessary. Europe –some of its states at least– needs to spend a little more on defence, but above all to spend better, something that has not always [...]

From presence to influence: new patterns for the US and China?

A country’s global presence, as defined in the Elcano’s Global Presence Index, is the aggregate product of a range of economic, military and soft variables. By measuring the external projection of a country –the extent of its international engagement– the Index provides a useful empirical basis to assess its [...]

Clinton dissipates Trump’s September Surge

The fierce challenge that Donald Trump mounted against Hillary Clinton –as expressed in the polls– during the final days of August and the first three weeks of September appears to have dissipated. In the two weeks since the first presidential debate, the trend in all of the polls (which [...]

Germans and their “angst”

Germany has a new Right.  It is strong, it is represented in nearly every state parliament, and, according to all predictions, it will move into the Bundestag in the coming year.  The Federal Republic has been turned on its head ever since Angela Merkel’s government, in agreement with Austria, [...]

The Clinton-Trump election remains tight

A week after the first presidential debate in the US, and just over a month before the election on November 8th, the polls remain tight, if at times inconsistent. The first debate seems to have led to an improvement in the polls for Hillary Clinton, both with respect to [...]
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