Global Policy

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Kennan’s ‘long telegram’: reflections from the past and the present

On 22 February 1946 George F. Kennan, chargé d’affaires at the US embassy in Moscow, sent Washington a memorandum known as the ‘long telegram’, which was 5,000 words in length. A recapitulation of this document, The Sources of Soviet Conduct, written by the selfsame Kennan under the pseudonym of [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Globalisation: factors of unity or division, depending on the circumstances

There are many dimensions to globalisation and they are constantly changing and varying in their composition: the trade in goods, capital flows (both of these are currently in decline), information flows (on the increase) and the movement of people (also rising, with huge problems). There is also cultural exchange [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Middle classes cut down to size

It may seem contradictory when the middle classes in emerging economies (now going through a slowdown) are growing like never before. But according to some studies, their numbers have been exaggerated. And in a good deal of Europe and the US, the middle classes are in free-fall, something that [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Global risks: are they really not economic?

‘Davos is a factory where conventional wisdom is manufactured’, according to David Rothkopf, Editor of Foreign Policy. But it frequently happens that this ‘conventional wisdom’ is simply wrong. Forming part of it are the forecasts of the World Economic Forum, which, nevertheless, are always of great interest. It is [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega The Trump-Le Pen nightmare is unlikely to come true, but it does muddy the waters

A nightmare scenario is causing some serious concern: seeing Donald Trump become US President in 2017 while Marine Le Pen becomes President of France, two processes that bear certain similarities. Writing about such a nightmarish possibility, Gideon Rachman, a Financial Times analyst, adds a third player: Vladimir Putin in [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Quebec’s paradox: feeling less pro-independent but also less Canadian

Twenty years after the second referendum (posing a very complicated question) that almost sealed the separation of Quebec from Canada (the stayers won by a slight margin, at 50.82%), the situation is now much changed. Pro-independence opinion is down to 31%-34% (and 37% among Francophones), which is still quite [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Paris: a war over an essential not an existential threat

Yesterday the French President François Hollande, before the two parliamentary chambers sitting together as Congress in Versailles, said that ‘France is at war’ and that the coordinated terrorist attacks in Paris have been an ‘act of war’ of the Islamic State (ISIS or Daesh). And indeed, we are involved [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega The New Silk Road: grand geopolitical engineering

The New Silk Road is the huge Chinese response to the US attempt to isolate Beijing via the Transpacific (TPP) and the Transatlantic (TTIP) agreements, whose fates are still very much in the balance. But it is much more than that. It responds to a clear geopolitical and geoeconomic [...]

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