Paul Isbell

Paul Isbell

International strategic analyst. He is currently the CAF Atlantic Energy Fellow at the Center for Transatlantic Relations (CTR) at Johns Hopkins University SAIS and the lead energy specialist of CTR's flagship projects, the Atlantic Basin Initiative (ABI) and the Atlantic Energy Forum (AEF). He was Director of the Energy and Climate Change Programme at the Elcano Royal Institute, and professor of international economics and geopolitics at diverse universities across the Atlantic Basin (including the University of Alcala de Henares; ICADE-Pontificia Comillas; Syracuse University; George Washington University and the Instituto Tecnológico de Buenos Aires). @SeaChangeIsbell

The second Trump surge: is it receding again, or about to breach the dyke?

After experiencing a second surge in the polls during the latter half of October —driven by yet another intromission from the FBI regarding Clinton’s controversial email management while she was Secretary of State— Donald Trump’s candidacy had arrived nearly to the same point where he was at the end [...]

Clinton pulls away, and Trump Chases

The most acrimonious presidential election in US history –the Jefferson-Adams election and Lincoln’s first in 1860 being possible exceptions– has now entered the home stretch. Hillary Clinton, the candidate of the Democratic Party, appears to have pulled out of the final turn of the long campaign well before, and [...]

Clinton dissipates Trump’s September Surge

The fierce challenge that Donald Trump mounted against Hillary Clinton –as expressed in the polls– during the final days of August and the first three weeks of September appears to have dissipated. In the two weeks since the first presidential debate, the trend in all of the polls (which [...]

The Clinton-Trump election remains tight

A week after the first presidential debate in the US, and just over a month before the election on November 8th, the polls remain tight, if at times inconsistent. The first debate seems to have led to an improvement in the polls for Hillary Clinton, both with respect to [...]

Clinton holds the line on Trump in the first debate

The polls had been tightening all through the month leading up to last night’s US Presidential Election Debate at Hofstra University in New York between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, the respective Democratic and Republican Party nominees. On the eve of the debate, Clinton’s peak August 9th lead of [...]

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