Yearly Archive: 2016

The second Trump surge: is it receding again, or about to breach the dyke?

After experiencing a second surge in the polls during the latter half of October —driven by yet another intromission from the FBI regarding Clinton’s controversial email management while she was Secretary of State— Donald Trump’s candidacy had arrived nearly to the same point where he was at the end [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Is Russia really a threat?

We are not facing a new Cold War, a point that has been made in these posts before, but we are witnessing a more traditional bout of arm wrestling. There is no ideological confrontation, even if some populists, ranging from Donald Trump to Marine Le Pen, admire Vladimir Putin’s [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega New protectionism, less investment?

Although the world has not emerged unchanged, given the oddly lethargic ‘recovery’ –we may indeed have entered what Larry Summers has dubbed ‘secular stagnation’–, the Great Recession that began in 2008 has passed and gone without having seen a major wave of protectionist measures, in contrast to the events [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Farewell Charlemagne: Europe in regions

Some people believe that Europe is undergoing a process of Balkanisation, although the continent’s regionalisation might in fact be something positive, combining unity and diversity. Matthew Karnitschnig in Politico recently warned about Europe becoming what he called ‘EUgoslavia’, hastened by Brexit. In a Union of 28 (27 without the [...]

Clinton pulls away, and Trump Chases

The most acrimonious presidential election in US history –the Jefferson-Adams election and Lincoln’s first in 1860 being possible exceptions– has now entered the home stretch. Hillary Clinton, the candidate of the Democratic Party, appears to have pulled out of the final turn of the long campaign well before, and [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Syria: a concentrated world war

After six years, the situation in Syria has become a world war on a small, concentrated scale, although with terrible consequences for its inhabitants. Let’s begin with the largest players: the US and Russia. What we are witnessing is not a cold war but a classic confrontation of powers [...]

Nobody’s perfect, not even Justin Trudeau

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made a lasting impression on world leaders at the United Nations General Assembly in September. Trudeau was met with an enthusiasm seldom seen at the GA as he spoke about solving the global refugee and migration crisis, and the importance of inter-state cooperation when [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega The western middle classes: decline, stagnation or rise?

The decline of a section of the middle classes in the west could be behind the electoral upheaval and the growth of populism in a large number of societies, but what is the truth of the matter? And if it is the case, what accounts for it? Globalisation? Technology [...]

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