Monthly Archive: October 2016

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Farewell Charlemagne: Europe in regions

Some people believe that Europe is undergoing a process of Balkanisation, although the continent’s regionalisation might in fact be something positive, combining unity and diversity. Matthew Karnitschnig in Politico recently warned about Europe becoming what he called ‘EUgoslavia’, hastened by Brexit. In a Union of 28 (27 without the [...]

Clinton pulls away, and Trump Chases

The most acrimonious presidential election in US history –the Jefferson-Adams election and Lincoln’s first in 1860 being possible exceptions– has now entered the home stretch. Hillary Clinton, the candidate of the Democratic Party, appears to have pulled out of the final turn of the long campaign well before, and [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Syria: a concentrated world war

After six years, the situation in Syria has become a world war on a small, concentrated scale, although with terrible consequences for its inhabitants. Let’s begin with the largest players: the US and Russia. What we are witnessing is not a cold war but a classic confrontation of powers [...]

Nobody’s perfect, not even Justin Trudeau

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made a lasting impression on world leaders at the United Nations General Assembly in September. Trudeau was met with an enthusiasm seldom seen at the GA as he spoke about solving the global refugee and migration crisis, and the importance of inter-state cooperation when [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega The western middle classes: decline, stagnation or rise?

The decline of a section of the middle classes in the west could be behind the electoral upheaval and the growth of populism in a large number of societies, but what is the truth of the matter? And if it is the case, what accounts for it? Globalisation? Technology [...]

Clinton dissipates Trump’s September Surge

The fierce challenge that Donald Trump mounted against Hillary Clinton –as expressed in the polls– during the final days of August and the first three weeks of September appears to have dissipated. In the two weeks since the first presidential debate, the trend in all of the polls (which [...]

Germans and their “angst”

Germany has a new Right.  It is strong, it is represented in nearly every state parliament, and, according to all predictions, it will move into the Bundestag in the coming year.  The Federal Republic has been turned on its head ever since Angela Merkel’s government, in agreement with Austria, [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Electoral scenarios: somewhere between grey and black

The western world, certainly the EU, with Trump, a debilitated Merkel and Le Pen (even Sarkozy) in charge would not be the same as one with Clinton, Juppé and a strengthened Merkel, or another German leader –without even considering the situation in the Netherlands, Austria and, of course, Spain–. [...]
Real Instituto Elcano - The Elcano Royal Institute | Príncipe de Vergara, 51. 28006 Madrid (España - Spain) | 2012 -2016 | Creative Commons BY-NC-ND 3.0