Monthly Archive: March 2016

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Brexit: possible political disasters

It is commonplace to talk more about the economic impact, but a British exit from the EU (so-called Brexit) could lead to a variety of political disasters. First, Ireland This would be the country most affected by Brexit, due to the impact it could have on the Ulster peace [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega China viewed from Japan: weakness with stability

Last year the word chosen by a company that annually nominates the most popular expression in Japan was bakugai. In English it translates as ‘explosive buying power’, referring to the Chinese tourists who visit Japan. If one sees young women dressed in kimonos (and often their male companions too) [...]

Is India the new China?

Maybe it is, but it could take a while in global presence terms. Following the episodes of financial turbulence and a cooling of growth rates and expectations in China, there is a rising debate on whether the other Asian giant, India, could now take the lead in several domains [...]

Contrasts between the realism of Kennan and Obama

Was George F. Kennan a diplomatic historian rather than a diplomat who wielded influence in government circles? The answer must be in the affirmative because, despite the kudos he garnered as the strategist who advocated containing the USSR from the outset of the Cold War, Kennan faced consistent problems [...]

Libya: finding a way out of the labyrinth must be by way of the oil terminals

In recent years the production of oil in Libya has endured a rollercoaster ride reflecting a succession of blockades, attacks, strikes and sabotage carried out on oil and gas installations (some accounts catalogue up to 75 incidents and dozens of fatalities). Output in 2010 was close to 1.6 million [...]

Global Spectator, by Andrés Ortega Europe: too many crises for so little leadership

The EU is accumulating crises without managing to resolve them: weak economic growth; the Greek crisis that continues unsolved and now storm clouds gathering over the German banking industry; the prospect of Brexit; not to mention, of course, the refugee crisis. Too many for a Europe lacking leadership. And [...]

Kennan’s ‘long telegram’: reflections from the past and the present

On 22 February 1946 George F. Kennan, chargé d’affaires at the US embassy in Moscow, sent Washington a memorandum known as the ‘long telegram’, which was 5,000 words in length. A recapitulation of this document, The Sources of Soviet Conduct, written by the selfsame Kennan under the pseudonym of [...]

The terrorist threat in the EU: expect the unexpected

Little more than two weeks after members of Islamic State (IS) carried out a series of coordinated attacks in Paris on 13 November 2015, which resulted in 130 dead and more than 350 injured, police experts from various EU countries especially affected by threat of the Jihadist organisation, as [...]
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